No Nonsense Economics
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No Recession In 2023 So… all in all, in the year ahead, expect to be surprised largely by the lack of surprises. Uncategorized January 10, 2023 Author: Christopher Thornberg, PhD Christopher Thornberg, PhD All Articles “If the economy shrinks next year, no one should be surprised. We’re facing the most widely forecast recession in history.”Wall Street Journal, Dec 4, 2022...
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President Donald Trump has promised to radically change the trade relationship between the United States and the rest of the world. He has already pulled the nation out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), has promised to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and intends to penalize China for unfair trade practices. President Trump argues that the United States has negotiated trade deals poorly and the results...
Californians are correct to be worried about the future of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) now that the Republicans control both branches of Congress and the White House. But they should be more worried about a looming crisis that neither presidential candidate addressed during the contentious election season — the coming fiscal calamity being driven by spiking Medicare costs. During President Obama’s administration, the Republican controlled congress voted...
Donald Trump’s victory a few weeks ago threw the political science world into turmoil. As far as we know, most of the truly serious pollsters went into the election with numbers that suggested Hillary Clinton was highly likely to win—perhaps one reason why the Clinton camp failed to make needed investments in the swing states that threw the election Trump’s way. We, too, were guilty of being lulled...