No Nonsense Economics
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No Recession In 2023 So… all in all, in the year ahead, expect to be surprised largely by the lack of surprises. Uncategorized January 10, 2023 Author: Christopher Thornberg, PhD Christopher Thornberg, PhD All Articles “If the economy shrinks next year, no one should be surprised. We’re facing the most widely forecast recession in history.”Wall Street Journal, Dec 4, 2022...
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Donald Trump’s victory a few weeks ago threw the political science world into turmoil. As far as we know, most of the truly serious pollsters went into the election with numbers that suggested Hillary Clinton was highly likely to win—perhaps one reason why the Clinton camp failed to make needed investments in the swing states that threw the election Trump’s way. We, too, were guilty of being lulled...
In California, this year’s bumper crop of confusing and often contradictory ballot propositions are the best example of a bad idea that has rapidly grown out of control (our most recent post, The Tyranny of Direct Democracy, lays out the serious and intensifying problems associated with the state’s Initiative system). But despite a distorted and misused process, this year’s state and local measures have potential consequences, so the specifics...
EDITOR’S NOTE: This article was co-authored by Adam J. Fowler. Remember when the biggest thing arriving in your mailbox over the course of the year was the massive old Sears catalog? Times have changed. For many, this year’s heftiest arrival was probably the 2016 California Voter Guide, which came in at over 200 pages. The number of statewide ballot measures in California continue to reach record and near record...