Beacon Economics

Exporters, Not Importers, May Be The Ones Bearing The Brunt California Exports Continue To Expand But Will Tariffs Disrupt That Growth? California’s trade trends continued along a positive trajectory in the latest numbers, even as worries about the incoming Trump administration’s tariff threats intensify. A key concern involves potential retaliatory moves from trading partners against the state's exporters. VIEW THE CALIFORNIA TRADE REPORT California Still A Powerhouse… Could Trump's Policies Disrupt Growth? The world’s fifth largest economy is still home to high incomes, high economic output, and critically important global industries. But some of President-Elect Donald Trump’s proposed policies could hit the state's economy particularly hard. VIEW THE BEACON OUTLOOK CALIFORNIA Who Should We Credit For Trump's Big Win? Jerome Powell, Of Course The 2021-2023 bout of inflation, which was caused by the Federal Reserve's $5 trillion overreaction to the COVID-19 pandemic, is the force that led to Donald Trump's resounding win. If you don't believe it, take a look at consumer sentiment election effects back to 1964. VIEW ANALYSIS Labor Supply Problems Persist California Job Growth Is Both Resilient And Constrained California’s labor market expansion continued in the latest numbers despite slowdowns in a number of industries. The state's job market is showing resilience but a lack of housing supply has led to a labor force contraction that is holding back job growth. VIEW THE BEACON EMPLOYMENT REPORT CALIFORNIA VIEW THE BEACON EMPLOYMENT REPORT CALIFORNIA Candidates' Economic Plans Could Do More Harm Than Good Despite a buoyant U.S. economy, the nation’s presidential candidates are both pushing costly, impractical economic policies while ignoring looming long-term threats. VIEW THE LATEST OUTLOOK Minority-Owned Businesses Are Fundamental To California's Economy The Impact of Diverse Small Business - 2024 Beacon Economics' new analysis of the economic, fiscal, and social impacts of minority-owned small businesses in California show that they are a pillar of the economy, accounting for 1.9 million of the 4.1 million businesses in the state. VIEW EXECUTIVE SUMMARY VIEW FULL REPORT California May Not Meet 2030 Climate Goal Until 2047 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Rebound Following Pandemic The 15th annual California Green Innovation Index finds economic growth in the state has become less dependent on fossil fuels... but the decarbonization rate needs to increase threefold to meet 2030 climate targets. VIEW THE NEW GREEN INNOVATION INDEX UC An Essential Engine The University of California's Eye Popping Economic Impact In contributing $82 billion to California's annual output and supporting 1 in every 45 jobs in the state, the UC system is an extraordinary engine of economic growth. Our new analysis reveals UC's full impact, from serving students to launching start-ups. VIEW THE ANALYSIS

Californians Moving Out Is Not The State’s Most Worrisome Trend

Californians Moving Out Is Not The State’s Most Worrisome Trend

Practice Areas

Working across the economy to deliver customized, data-driven solutions to businesses, governments, and nonprofits.

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Publications

To better understand our economic present and future, we publish a variety of forecasts and commentaries that deliver global, national, and local insight.

Each month, we link our own econometric predictions to data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and state labor market departments to identify important changes in employment across industries and regions.

One of the most accurate economic forecasts around. This succinct, quarterly outlook delivers up-to-date analysis of leading indicators driving the U.S. and California economies, including GDP growth, employment, housing and commercial real estate markets, taxable sales, international trade, and more.

Hype-free insights into the global, U.S., and California economies. These brief, timely posts cover a wide range of topics and deliver straightforward commentary on issues ranging from California migration trends to Federal Reserve policy decisions to U.S. real estate markets. Relevant, honest analysis that’s fun to read.

This report analyzes monthly data released by the U.S. Census Bureau’s Foreign Trade Division, pinpointing important trends in California’s import/export industry and identifying potential effects on the state’s economy.

No Nonsense Economics

Relevant, hype-free insights about what’s happening in the global, U.S., and California economies

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To be contacted about Beacon's services, please provide the following information:
We will never share your information without your explicit permission. We use cookies on our site so you won’t need to resubmit your information when you visit again from the same device. Submitting this form will add you to Beacon Economics mailing lists. You can unsubscribe at any time.